research-document REPOSITORY-HEALTH-2026-07-28

Repository Research Health

Repository health assessment

Summary

Repository maturity is developing / validation-constrained. Research operations are comparatively mature; empirical validation is not. The repository can tell an agent what to inspect next, but multiple status narratives and incomplete executable integrity controls prevent fully autonomous trust.

Metric Result Interpretation
Publishable research artifacts 1246 Publisher catalog; each has a disposition in the coverage ledger
Accepted/current/complete lifecycle artifacts 17 All are mapped to document frontiers
Authority exceptions analyzed 23 Current-state dependencies not reliably represented by lifecycle metadata
Unique analyzed artifacts 40 Grouped into evidence-coherent units; not treated as independent findings
Authoritative analysis units 11 Current/accepted claim-bearing packages and controlling state
Reference corpus artifacts 100 All current characterizations are draft and single-analyst
Open frontier candidates 16 Mutable until governance acceptance; semantically deduplicated
Validated major theory findings 0 No major theory claim meets the repository's independent publication gate
Candidate-supported ECR-000003 observations 3 Dashboard language is explicitly provisional
Active hypotheses in dashboard 7 Evidence mostly weak; one moderate, one insufficient
Registered experiment definitions 11 Engineering verification exists; human baseline and matched causal utility remain absent
Direct experiment coverage partial EX-FE-0002 is blocked and EX-FE-0003 has no execution data
Independent human validation coverage 0% of major claims Plans exist, completed baseline does not
Critical/high contradictions 6 Three critical and three high
Semantic duplicate consolidation 70.9% 55 unit-level top selections consolidated to 16 unique RFRs
Average RFR confidence index 0.687 Normalized only for open RFR confidence labels; not an average of research truth
Average research trace depth 3.00 origin documents/RFR Sections and assumptions are retained in each RFR
Opportunity graph connectivity 16 edges / 16 nodes Directed acyclic prerequisite graph; source-record links remain documentary
Knowledge graph connectivity moderate, documentary Many repository links exist; typed referential integrity is not fully enforced

Research by discipline

Discipline Current strength Frontier need
Knowledge/research engineering high process coverage Validate process effects
Systems/architecture high conceptual coverage Enforce declared contracts
Measurement/statistics moderate instruments, weak calibration Negative controls, reliability, saturation
AI/model evaluation moderate internal coverage Independence semantics and provider effects
Human factors low Human baseline and cognitive load
Economics/operations very low Cost, ROI, field maintenance
Accessibility absent in evidence Representation equivalence
Security low Adversarial provenance and fail-closed behavior

Open RFRs by category:

  • Accessibility: 1
  • AI: 1
  • Economics: 1
  • Engineering: 1
  • Experimentation: 1
  • Human Factors: 2
  • Measurement: 2
  • Security: 1
  • Statistics: 1
  • Theory: 2
  • Tooling: 1
  • Validation: 2

Largest evidence gaps

  1. No matched test of FE-specific incremental utility.
  2. No independent human reliability baseline.
  3. No calibrated false-positive estimate for structural equivalence.
  4. No blind reliability estimate for the 100-artifact corpus.
  5. No machine-enforced end-to-end lineage integrity for accepted/provider records.

Confidence decay

Age alone is not currently the dominant decay factor because most active work is recent. Confidence should nevertheless be reduced where newer evidence changes classification:

  • Discipline distinctiveness: low → very low, following the 2026-07-28 boundary comparison.
  • Integrated-profile coherence: unassessed → moderate, but utility stays very low.
  • Experimental boundary classification: remains inconclusive until EX-FE-0002 completes or is formally superseded.
  • Corpus distribution claims: retain descriptive status, but inferential confidence is low until blind re-review.
  • Accepted profile conformance: medium for pilot structure; low for complete execution/lineage integrity after the audit.
  • Grammar and primitive claims: low-to-moderate exploratory confidence; decay if negative controls or independent coders fail.

Maturity gates

The repository should not advance to autonomous canonical promotion or discipline claims until:

  • RFR-2026-001 demonstrates comparator discrimination,
  • RFR-2026-016 resolves the controlling mechanism-boundary experiment,
  • RFR-2026-002 establishes human reliability,
  • RFR-2026-003 demonstrates net incremental utility,
  • RFR-2026-008 closes high-severity integrity gaps, and
  • claim-level confidence history replaces ambiguous aggregate averages.