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ECR-000003 Hypothesis Review Board Summary

Research Area
General Research
Status
draft
Version
0.1
Priority
medium
Updated
2026-07-22
Source
research/evidence-runs/ECR-000003-representation-sensitivity/review-board/HYPOTHESIS-REVIEW-BOARD-SUMMARY.md

ECR-000003 Hypothesis Review Board Summary

Status: proposal_only

Hypothesis Prior Direction Proposed Direction Prior Strength Proposed Strength Kill Condition Recommendation
H002 unresolved slightly_supported low-moderate weak tested_not_met retain
H003 unresolved slightly_supported moderate weak partially_met retain
H013 unresolved mixed moderate moderate tested_not_met split
H015 unresolved supported moderate moderate tested_not_met retain
H016 unresolved waiting low insufficient not_tested defer
H017 unresolved slightly_supported low weak partially_met retain
H018 proposed slightly_supported very low weak tested_not_met retain

Strongest Supporting Patterns

  • EXP-003 preserved more backbone-level stability across domains than either EXP-001 or EXP-002.
  • ECR-000003 completed end-to-end under a frozen comparator and normalization workflow.
  • Explainability supports the claim that some disagreement is elaboration or wording drift rather than pure structural collapse.

Strongest Challenges

  • Primitive, transition, and constraint disagreements remained material across experiments.
  • Provider-specific recognition behavior stayed visible.
  • No accepted human baseline exists.

Mixed Findings

  • Representation changes do not uniformly destroy structure, but neither do they preserve all layers reliably.
  • Recognition pressure is real, but its structural effect appears uneven rather than uniformly dominant.
  • Cross-provider convergence appears stronger at backbone layers than at detailed semantic layers.

Most Affected Hypotheses

  • H013 because recognition pressure remained active but not uniformly causal.
  • H015 because the instrument performed well enough for review, but still with visible caveats.
  • H018 because EXP-003 produced the strongest provisional cross-domain signal.

Least-Tested Hypotheses

  • H016 because no accepted graph-only control exists in the reviewed evidence set.

Possible Splits

  • H003 backbone convergence vs primitive convergence vs recognition convergence
  • H013 recognition persistence vs recognition import vs structural effect
  • H016 topology-driven recognition vs semantic-cue-driven recognition
  • H017 role compression vs transition compression vs constraint compression

Instrument Dependencies

  • accepted quantitative interpretation depends on Comparator 3.1.0
  • supporting interpretation depends on Comparator 3.2.0 explainability
  • accepted evidence still depends on normalization and file-certification workflow

Limiting Threats

  • missing human baseline
  • recognition leakage
  • representation-format effects
  • provider-specific style
  • possible comparator abstraction effects

Next Evidence Priorities

  1. Negative non-isomorphic controls
  2. Human baseline procedural extraction
  3. Recognition-control replication
  4. Constraint-layer calibration
  5. Model-version repeatability

Human Decisions Required

  • accept or revise each proposed direction and strength
  • decide whether to split H013
  • decide whether H016 should remain active or move to deferred status
  • approve or reject the matrix-update proposal
  • approve the next highest-information research action