research-document
EDR Decision Rules
EDR Decision Rules
Purpose
Define how evidence should be converted into next research action.
Rules
- Do not update confidence directly from an ECR or experiment.
- Use observations first, interpretations second, decisions third.
- Prefer the next experiment that most reduces the largest remaining uncertainty.
- Prefer narrowing competing explanations over expanding theory.
- If instrumentation ambiguity dominates, fix the instrument before scaling the claim.
- If replication uncertainty dominates, queue replication before new abstraction.
- If a result is surprising but fragile, queue confirmation before promotion.
- If a result is unsurprising and low-information, deprioritize similar runs.
- Route all confidence changes through accepted EDR output and subsequent hypothesis review.