research-frontier-record RFR-2026-016

Complete blinded mechanism-boundary adjudication

RFR-2026-016: Complete blinded mechanism-boundary adjudication

Research opportunity

Complete or formally supersede the controlling EX-FE-0002 Stage A and Stage B mechanism-boundary experiment.

Background

The 2026-07-28 source synthesis narrows the working model, but EX-FE-0002 remains Stage A incomplete, Stage B blocked, and experimentally inconclusive.

Origin documents and trace

Specific assumption challenged: A same-provider source synthesis can support a working classification without completing the controlling independent experiment.

Supporting evidence: EX-FE-0002 defines the governing blinded test; its v1.1 decision explicitly blocks Stage B, and the successor REP says it does not override that state.

Unknowns

  • Whether any FE mechanism survives blinded lossless-subsumption review
  • Whether source cards pass independent completeness audit
  • Whether blinding and recognition thresholds can be met

Dependencies

Suggested REP and methodology

Create REP-2026-016. Use the new source registry as candidate repair input; appoint disjoint curators, completeness auditor, blinding editor, recognition coordinator, key custodian, reviewers, adjudicator, and analyst; freeze and hash artifacts; execute Stage B only after every gate passes.

Expected outputs

  • Accepted or rejected Stage A source cards
  • Blinded reviewer packet and sealed-key receipt
  • Adjudicated mechanism-boundary decision

Success criteria

Every protocol gate is evidenced, the result remains null/negative/inconclusive when warranted, and the accepted decision either identifies a non-subsumed operational mechanism or narrows/supersedes the claim.

Execution recommendation

  • Recommended agent: independent mechanism-boundary research director
  • Estimated effort: high
  • Expected knowledge gained: Resolves the controlling experimental state and defines which components, if any, merit causal utility testing.
  • Frontier Score: 492
  • Score inputs: knowledge gain 5/5; impact 5/5; cross-project reuse 5/5; scientific importance 4/5; dependency cost 4/5; implementation difficulty 4/5.
  • Score calculation: 5 × 5 × 5 × 4 − 4 − 4 = 492.
  • Score status: structured expert judgment, not measured utility.